Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Wed Apr 08 18:08:58 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Test volume in New York isn't increasing THAT much but it is increasing SOME... around 20k tests per day now (and a record 25k yesterday) vs. 15k or so on average in the week before that. Enough to have an effect on what the curve looks like. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The peak in newly-detected cases coming on 3/31 would make a lot of sense. Roll 2-3 weeks back from that (average lag time between infection + case detection) and we're in the 2nd week of March, when the problem is becoming clearer but before there's much social distancing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It looks like the decline in the rate of positive tests in New York State is primarily because of New York City. That is, positive tests (as a share of all tests) are declining faster in NYC than outside of it. https://t.co/MtU6toy8TO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2020 Hibernated