Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Wed Apr 08 18:01:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The peak in newly-detected cases coming on 3/31 would make a lot of sense. Roll 2-3 weeks back from that (average lag time between infection + case detection) and we're in the 2nd week of March, when the problem is becoming clearer but before there's much social distancing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The percentage of tests that are coming up positive in NY state remains very high but now falling a bit each day: 4/7 (most recent): 41.7% 4/6: 42.5% 4/5: 46.7% 4/4: 44.6% 4/3: 46.9% 4/2: 48.6% 4/1: 48.1% 3/31: 50.4% 3/30: 49.9% 3/29: 49.5% 3/28: 43.9% https://t.co/MtU6toy8TO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Test volume in New York isn't increasing THAT much but it is increasing SOME... around 20k tests per day now (and a record 25k yesterday) vs. 15k or so on average in the week before that. Enough to have an effect on what the curve looks like. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2020 Hibernated