Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

Created

Mon Apr 06 17:30:12 +0000 2020

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That is, there wasn't some constant baseline of symptoms to measure the rise in COVID-19-like symptoms against. Instead, there was a *declining* baseline, because NYC was just finally getting over a bad year for the flu. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 6, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As an aside, while in theory you could use data on metrics such as ER visits (see below) & even Google searches (see earlier thread) to see *when* the outbreak started in NYC, it's complicated by the fact that NYC had a fairly bad flu season. https://t.co/9w6hrcMO1Y https://t.co/uN3JHROaaV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 6, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's clear that things people were seeing a *lot* of symptoms by the 2nd week in March, which implies a lot of community spread was occurring ~a week before that (1st week of March). I'm curious about what was happening in late Feb. and not sure if the data is so clear on that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 6, 2020 Hibernated