Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Mon Apr 06 17:30:11 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As an aside, while in theory you could use data on metrics such as ER visits (see below) & even Google searches (see earlier thread) to see *when* the outbreak started in NYC, it's complicated by the fact that NYC had a fairly bad flu season. https://t.co/9w6hrcMO1Y https://t.co/uN3JHROaaV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Encouraging evidence that Italy is past its peak. And they reported ~30K new tests today, which is toward the higher end of what they've been reporting from day to day. — PolitiTweet.org

Today (April 6th) the daily percentage growth of confirmed #COVID19 cases in Italy is 2.79%, from 128,948 to 132,54… https://t.co/su1FitOzlB

Posted April 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That is, there wasn't some constant baseline of symptoms to measure the rise in COVID-19-like symptoms against. Instead, there was a *declining* baseline, because NYC was just finally getting over a bad year for the flu. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 6, 2020 Hibernated