Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Sun Apr 05 23:39:35 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Did "electability" help Biden? Probably. I think it *hurt* all the candidates who weren't straight white men. But at least Biden demonstrated his case by having higher turnout in his stronger areas. And overall the media narrative was skeptical of Biden, especially post-IA/NH/NV. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

On top of that (and this is related to his running as a somewhat generic, coalition-building Democrat) Biden's policy preferences were probably *closer* to those of the median Democratic voter than any other candidate. (Though not the median Democrat on Twitter.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is a good thread. It's not *completely* binary whether we wind up with a "best-case scenario" (deaths in the high 5 figures/low 6 figures) or a worst-case scenario (an order of magnitude more). But it's more bimodal than you might think. — PolitiTweet.org

8. Epidemics work a bit like that. Either you manage to suppress the epidemic and end up on one side of the ridge,… https://t.co/JtyxCHWwsL

Posted April 6, 2020 Hibernated