Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Sun Apr 05 15:06:47 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But the notion that Trump would get a pass on a recession caused by coronavirus while, say Carter wouldn't on one caused by inflation and an energy crisis doesn't seem theoretically sound, especially given the White House's lack of preparedness and initial denial of significance. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Corollary: the more robustly- designed models should work better than the ones that were overfit/p-hacked by, say, only using 2Q GDP instead of a broader range of measures over a longer time frame. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

"The public blames presidents for recessions, but only if they result from obscure failures of monetary policy that they don't fully understand" is a terrible theory and basically what you'd be left with if the models don't "work" during a coronavirus recession. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated