Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 4, 2020

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Thu Mar 26 18:28:10 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So the places that look good now may look bad in 2-3 weeks *especially* if they're deemed low-risk and interventions are relaxed. (To some extent, the reverse may be true also and places that were bad before may be bending the curve.) This thing changes *fast*. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another problem is that counties that have a lot of cases *today* may be on the flat part or even the downslope of their curve, while counties with relatively few cases today may be on the sharpest part of exponential increase. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A 3-week national lockdown to (i) contain discovered *and undiscovered* simmering hotspots and (ii) get testing volume up to speed everywhere ... and *then* applying recommendations on a county-by-county basis *after* those 3 weeks... that would be a much better policy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 26, 2020 Hibernated