Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 4, 2020

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Thu Mar 26 18:28:10 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another problem is that counties that have a lot of cases *today* may be on the flat part or even the downslope of their curve, while counties with relatively few cases today may be on the sharpest part of exponential increase. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Some of the most dangerous hotspots in the US right now are probably places where there are few reported positives because there hasn't been much testing ... and the lack of reported positives also hasn't compelled much change in behavior. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So the places that look good now may look bad in 2-3 weeks *especially* if they're deemed low-risk and interventions are relaxed. (To some extent, the reverse may be true also and places that were bad before may be bending the curve.) This thing changes *fast*. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 26, 2020 Hibernated