Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 4, 2020

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Thu Mar 26 16:52:45 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@R_Thaler @PTetlock I agree that the ranges for number of deaths seems too narrow. But... if more cases are unreported it also means that the true case fatality rate is lower. So measures such as deaths and hospitalizations may not be that sensitive to underreporting. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The experts we surveyed also think that under-reporting could be anywhere from 3x (that is, 3 actual cases for every reported case) to 50x (that is, 50 actual cases for every reported case) in the US. That's a big range, and one of the most important unknowns right now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not fantastic. But Italy reported a large volume of new tests, 37k, which is considerably larger that the number of tests they usually report (in the low-mid 20k range). https://t.co/3mA6RYQQON — PolitiTweet.org

JUST IN: Italy reported 6,153 new coronavirus cases in the last 24 hours, its biggest rise in the last five days, a… https://t.co/XtcUrOQiA2

Posted March 26, 2020 Hibernated