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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 15, 2020

Created

Wed Feb 19 19:26:18 +0000 2020

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314

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27

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bloomberg has certainly beaten my expectations so far and it's possible that he'll be at 25% nationally by Super Tuesday. But he could also decline as a result of a bad debate or say Biden gaining momentum by winning SC. Media-driven poll surges and declines are not uncommon. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Ehh, he seems to have gotten a little stuck in the polls at ~16% and this is happening at a time when the opposition research is just starting to escalate and the tone of media coverage has shifted from surprise to skepticism. — PolitiTweet.org

Megan McArdle @asymmetricinfo

@NateSilver538 Sure, but the latter is because, unlike most candidates, he doesn't need the first four states to fi… https://t.co/a6O7anj83f

Posted Feb. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@asymmetricinfo He certainly can win. I'm not expecting him to drop out either, nor saying he should! I just think his claims to being the strongest non-Bernie candidate aren't terribly persuasive to candidates who have demonstrated more staying power and survived a field that went from 27 to 5. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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