Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 15, 2020

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Wed Feb 19 19:26:17 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Ehh, he seems to have gotten a little stuck in the polls at ~16% and this is happening at a time when the opposition research is just starting to escalate and the tone of media coverage has shifted from surprise to skepticism. — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Sure, but the latter is because, unlike most candidates, he doesn't need the first four states to fi… https://t.co/a6O7anj83f

Posted Feb. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Well, I'd say it's more than that. The point of a long primary campaign is that you have to survive lots of tests. Debates, opposition research/rough news cycles, polling slumps—and then perform respectably well in the first 4 states. Bloomberg hasn't done almost any of that yet. — PolitiTweet.org

THe argument for Bloomberg leaving the race is the argument for any other moderate candidate to leave the race. And… https://t.co/7RktvcHBme

Posted Feb. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bloomberg has certainly beaten my expectations so far and it's possible that he'll be at 25% nationally by Super Tuesday. But he could also decline as a result of a bad debate or say Biden gaining momentum by winning SC. Media-driven poll surges and declines are not uncommon. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 19, 2020 Hibernated