Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 15, 2020

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Wed Feb 19 17:46:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

My sincere apologies for not catching this sooner. Bugs can happen but I usually have a good eye for when something doesn't look right. Thought the changes were just the model reacting to IA; didn't realize I'd also introduced a problem with the demographic regressions. Shoot. /7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The fact that you can pick up district delegates even in states where you don't get 15% statewide makes it slightly harder for candidates to win by runaway delegate margins. So reintroducing the proper amount of district-by-district variance tends to help "no majority". 6/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Changes in our nat'l polling average since 2/13 (when we started to get the first hints of post-NH data). Basically everything is stagnant EXCEPT Sanders may be gaining further. Sanders +2.5 Bloomberg +0.8 Biden -0.2 Buttigieg +1.0 Warren +0.1 Klob +1.0 https://t.co/NRHApT7FSF — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 19, 2020 Hibernated