Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 26, 2020

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Fri Feb 07 13:21:41 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Relatedly, although he made a lot of gains there before Iowa, Sanders's polling is pretty flat in NH *since* Iowa. More consistent with what you'd expect from what is perceived as a 2nd-place finish in Iowa rather than a tie or win. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I would guess, based on his polling in NH which is where we have the most data, that Buttigieg is gonna get a slightly bigger national surge than our model is assuming. That's because voters & the media seem to treat IA as a win for Buttigieg when our model thinks of it as a tie. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

NBA trade deadline had only modest effects on our forecast. RAPTOR isn't a huge Marcus Morris fan & doesn't like the guys the 76ers added at all. Main thing right now is the Rockets climbing back into contention with their winning streak + Covington. https://t.co/SfFhO0cq2P https://t.co/4ZkxcQ6Ur6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 7, 2020 Hibernated