Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 26, 2020

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Thu Feb 06 16:07:53 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DouthatNYT I think there are basically 3 buckets of questions here: 1) Are there multiple credible claims to having the "will of the electorate"? 2) How much will delegates care about the "will of the electorate" anyway? 3) Who are the delegates and what preferences/biases do they have? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Keep in mind there may be multiple claims to legitimacy: —Delegates —Popular votes —Current national polling spliced in various ways —Claims to have "momentum" from late wins —Claims to be a unity candidate, perhaps bolstered by polling (e.g. favorability ratings) —Best v. Trump — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jeffhauser I don't get why you think it would have been better if they'd dumped it all at once? Especially since it probably would still have contained many, many errors? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated