Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 26, 2020

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Thu Feb 06 01:58:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SethS_D @jonathanchait @Nate_Cohn It only very mildly punishes candiates if they aren't on the ballot on states. It did slightly punish Bloomberg in IA, where there was no ballot per se and so he was technically competing, but that will be washed out of the system in a few days. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MattGrossmann @jonathanchait @Nate_Cohn All of that is possible... that Bloomberg uses Super Tuesday to clear the field of non-Sanders candiates. But if those candidates win a decent number of delegates on Super Tuesday, Bloomberg needs to win a supermajority the rest of the way, which is very hard. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SethS_D @jonathanchait @Nate_Cohn It assumes there is some chance of big bounces after debates and some chance of big totally random stochastic bounces. But he's gone from 4 percent to 9 percent in 3 months which is not necessarily cause for optimism about his chances to have a huge bounce in the next 3 weeks. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated