Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 26, 2020

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Thu Feb 06 01:55:06 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MattGrossmann @jonathanchait @Nate_Cohn All of that is possible... that Bloomberg uses Super Tuesday to clear the field of non-Sanders candiates. But if those candidates win a decent number of delegates on Super Tuesday, Bloomberg needs to win a supermajority the rest of the way, which is very hard. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SethS_D @jonathanchait @Nate_Cohn That's wrong; it assumes there can also be big bumps in later states. The problem is that the bump would come too late for Bloomberg to win a majority, because so many delegates would already have been chosen by then. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SethS_D @jonathanchait @Nate_Cohn It only very mildly punishes candiates if they aren't on the ballot on states. It did slightly punish Bloomberg in IA, where there was no ballot per se and so he was technically competing, but that will be washed out of the system in a few days. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated