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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

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Wed Feb 05 00:06:51 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If Bernie wins SC then Bernie is almost certainly going to win the nomination. If Biden wins SC, then Biden is still alive (perhaps even doing fairly well) at the very least through Super Tuesday, which makes Bloomberg's path to a majority almost impossible. — PolitiTweet.org

Jonathan Chait @jonathanchait

@NateSilver538 I guess I would be looking for more detail as to why given high levels of undecided voters, a possib… https://t.co/AtSeFSMzbR

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There certainly *is* a pretty decent chance (at least 20%) of a contested convention and those chances have increased in the past 48 hours. If you think Bloomberg would emerge out of a contested convention (not something our model forecasts), there's a case for optimism there. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @Nate_Cohn: Buttigieg with a 74 percent chance to win the most SDEs, according to our estimates The returns so far are fundamentally rep… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Retweet Hibernated