Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

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Tue Feb 04 18:46:40 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's noteworthy that they aren't listing delegates, and plausible they could lose on delegates with a ~4.5 point le… https://t.co/fQxbqjEAbx — PolitiTweet.org

Team Bernie sends new internals. Notably nothing on delegate totals but does have him winning after realignment https://t.co/PXhb4QvMq3

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Like let's say Warren is mostly finishing in 3rd place, but often with enough votes to get delegates. Ordinarily, a candidate like that would eventually drop out. But if neither Bernie or Biden are pulling away, she could stay in hoping to be a compromise choice. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, state delegate equivalents are dumb and unnecessary. But, it's the traditional way that the media declares winners, and just reading the tea leaves, it feels like that's roughly a toss-up whereas Bernie is the favorite in the other two counts. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated