Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

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Tue Feb 04 18:26:44 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Like let's say Warren is mostly finishing in 3rd place, but often with enough votes to get delegates. Ordinarily, a candidate like that would eventually drop out. But if neither Bernie or Biden are pulling away, she could stay in hoping to be a compromise choice. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You could pretty easily see an equilibrium where everyone assumes there's a contested convention, and that begets a contested convention. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's noteworthy that they aren't listing delegates, and plausible they could lose on delegates with a ~4.5 point le… https://t.co/fQxbqjEAbx — PolitiTweet.org

Team Bernie sends new internals. Notably nothing on delegate totals but does have him winning after realignment https://t.co/PXhb4QvMq3

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated