Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

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Mon Feb 03 19:04:44 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Taken in combination these things would tend to considerably increase the likelihood of a contested convention. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What that would mean is some combination of: * Candidates less willing to drop out than usual * Smaller bounces from IA/NH * But perhaps larger bounces from NV/SC/beyond * Delayed reactions from party elites to things (e.g. Bernie's surge) that should have been evident earlier — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Iowa caucus winning chances: Sanders: 2 in 5 (41%) Biden: 1 in 3 (32%) Buttigieg: 1 in 7 (14%) Warren: 1 in 10 (10%) Klobuchar: 1 in 40 (2%) https://t.co/Q2hBgpjs39 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated