Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

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Mon Feb 03 19:01:57 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What that would mean is some combination of: * Candidates less willing to drop out than usual * Smaller bounces from IA/NH * But perhaps larger bounces from NV/SC/beyond * Delayed reactions from party elites to things (e.g. Bernie's surge) that should have been evident earlier — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I wonder whether the relative lack of news coverage/buildup to the Iowa caucuses because of all the competing news stories could wind up sort of pushing back the timetable for the primaries. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Taken in combination these things would tend to considerably increase the likelihood of a contested convention. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated