Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

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Mon Feb 03 15:02:59 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The other thing to keep in mind is that realigment helps all of the candidates who are comfortably above 15% to boost their margins. If Sanders or Biden initially get say 23% of the vote, they could wind up with ~27% or something after second choices join them. https://t.co/F0Gq3cIBFY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I plan to be pretty equivocal in my coverage tonight. I think all 3 measures—first alignment, final alignment, and state delegate equivalents (SDEs)—have a decent claim to validity. The rest of the media may emphasize SDEs since that's the traditional way of counting though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The Iowa polling has just gotten a little weird here in the past few days. A lot more last-minute stuff than we wer… https://t.co/dlAMQhv4YB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated