Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 4, 2020

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Sat Feb 01 17:53:40 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For the media, it will heavily affect expectations. And the funny thing is that if you're a frontrunner (Bernie, Biden) you would rather expectations be *lower*. You tend to get a bigger bounce that way if you win, and a smaller "anti-bounce" if you *don't* win. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For voters—with several candidates sitting near the 15% threshold and/or needing a good Iowa night to be viable goi… https://t.co/601dx4Tc07 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In that sense, I think it's a more important poll for Buttigieg, Warren and Klobuchar than for Biden and Bernie. Hell, if I were Bernie, and I was *actually* up 3 points or something, I'm not sure I'd hate being tied or down 1 in this poll to temper expectations a bit. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated