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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 4, 2020

Created

Sat Feb 01 17:51:30 +0000 2020

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119

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12

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For voters—with several candidates sitting near the 15% threshold and/or needing a good Iowa night to be viable goi… https://t.co/601dx4Tc07 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This thread on the Selzer/DMR/CNN poll is worth reading but one further meta-thought: This is the rare instance (usually I think this theory is overrated/under-evidenced) where a poll itself could have an impact on the race by influencing media and voter behavior. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Well, tonight we get the Selzer/DMR/CNN poll out of Iowa, perhaps our last best marker of the race heading into the… https://t.co/kExZDKMfRx

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For the media, it will heavily affect expectations. And the funny thing is that if you're a frontrunner (Bernie, Biden) you would rather expectations be *lower*. You tend to get a bigger bounce that way if you win, and a smaller "anti-bounce" if you *don't* win. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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