Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 29, 2020

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Fri Jan 31 16:20:45 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I predicted in 538 slack 2 days ago that ARG would randomly put out a late-minute Iowa poll showing Klobuchar surging to 2nd place. Not *precisely* right but they show her at 16% in 3rd place, one point out of second. https://t.co/ZEDvhrF5hi https://t.co/51DWRKNYZK — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mlcalderone Polling has been a big part of election coverage since the 1930s. And these models have existed since at least 2004. They often showed much *more* definitive leads than in 2016, without producing the same sort of certainty and myopia in press coverage. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not meant as a slam on Klobuchar, who does seem to have a bit of forward movement in Iowa but ARG is a very... weird pollster that always had for instance Kasich doing super well in their 2016 primary polling, for example. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 31, 2020 Hibernated