Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 29, 2020

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Fri Jan 31 16:11:59 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mlcalderone Polling has been a big part of election coverage since the 1930s. And these models have existed since at least 2004. They often showed much *more* definitive leads than in 2016, without producing the same sort of certainty and myopia in press coverage. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mlcalderone If you go back and read the coverage as it was produced in real time, you may be surprised by how much of our coverage was screaming at people to take Trump's chances seriously. And by how many NYT/etc. articles found excuses to blow off polls/data that were bad for Clinton. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I predicted in 538 slack 2 days ago that ARG would randomly put out a late-minute Iowa poll showing Klobuchar surging to 2nd place. Not *precisely* right but they show her at 16% in 3rd place, one point out of second. https://t.co/ZEDvhrF5hi https://t.co/51DWRKNYZK — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 31, 2020 Hibernated