Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked May 29, 2020

Created

Thu Jan 30 13:38:32 +0000 2020

Likes

302

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For a candidate polling at >=10, the empirical margin of error on the polling average as it stands right now is +/- 16 percentage points! Polling Iowa is really hard, last minute swings are common, and this doesn't seem to be reflected in news coverage of the state. https://t.co/NSb6bVTLPH — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 30, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In 8 of the past 11 Iowa caucuses, there have been major differences between what the polls said *now* and the actu… https://t.co/FoEgNATDJY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 30, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It seems pretty clear at this point that impeachment has disrupted the usual surge in media and voter attention to the primairies that you'd normally get at this point in the year. (The first graph is the US, the second is in Iowa specifically.) https://t.co/LR5kVkzTVV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 30, 2020 Hibernated