Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 28, 2020

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Wed Jan 29 22:07:08 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I can see some reasonable-best-case scenarios where he does "surprisingly" well on Super Tuesday and gains momentum… https://t.co/W8KVGCH8NW — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We don't know everything. But we do know it's hard to have big surges in the polls unless you win states. (The 2nd best way is debates, which he's not doing.) We also know it's likely at least 1-2 non-Bloom candidates will be perceived as having momentum after the first 4 states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Any other pollsters apart from Selzer/CNN/DMR planning on an Iowa poll? If there's any state where you want to poll right up to the last minute, it's this one, and it doesn't look like we'll be getting much. — PolitiTweet.org

Per @538politics research assistant extraordinaire Derek Shan, Selzer may be the only other poll we get before the… https://t.co/v5FVu8Nk3d

Posted Jan. 29, 2020 Hibernated