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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 21, 2020

Created

Wed Jan 22 16:14:13 +0000 2020

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1,631

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112

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'd certainly rather be in Bernie's position than Warren's, but the best argument for Warren is that she's basicall… https://t.co/R9ps9TlFAt — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

With Monmouth national poll also included; net change since 1/14. Biden 26.6 (-0.1) Sanders 20.4 (+1.8) Warren 15.8 (-0.3) Buttigieg 7.6 (+0.4) Bloomberg 7.3 (+1.5) So basically... Sanders and Bloomberg moving up in national polls, others steady. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. This phrasing sounds a bit casual ^^^, but empirically the best predictor of a bounce (and what our model uses to forecast bounces) is how a candidate finishes in a state relative to his or her national polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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