Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Again, the lack of early-state polling makes this tricky. Our model is guessing that Biden and Bernie have surpassed Buttigieg in New Hampshire, for instance, based on trends in national polls. But, there's no surefire way to know until someone polls NH. https://t.co/nRWOEjafiW https://t.co/B2BXso87i9 — PolitiTweet.org