Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Mon Dec 30 23:19:33 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A rather annoying lack of polls lately but our model has Biden with among his wider leads lately and Buttigieg fading a bit. https://t.co/NRHApT7FSF https://t.co/dh8opJoIXa — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 30, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@dandrezner @ForecasterEnten Pre-Iowa the polls are pretty much a random walk but once people actually start voting...winning states and/or overperforming expectations will still usually produce a bounce. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 30, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Again, the lack of early-state polling makes this tricky. Our model is guessing that Biden and Bernie have surpassed Buttigieg in New Hampshire, for instance, based on trends in national polls. But, there's no surefire way to know until someone polls NH. https://t.co/nRWOEjafiW https://t.co/B2BXso87i9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2019 Hibernated