Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Sat Dec 28 19:55:33 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Sure, there are scenarios where Biden falters, for instance. But in most of those cases, it's Bernie, or maybe Warren or Buttigieg, who takes advantage of the opportunity. What if, say, both Biden *and* Bernie fade? Probably still Warren or Buttigieg picks up the slack. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 28, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One basic thing that gets overlooked in the D primary, if you're hoping for a surprise winner, is that it's much harder to surpass 4 frontrunners (or semi-frontrunners) than one. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 28, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A contested Democratic convention is a distinct possibility, but after spending a crazy number of hours working on our primary model, I think it's probably closer to an overrated possibility than an underrated one. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2019 Hibernated