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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

Created

Thu Dec 26 19:52:00 +0000 2019

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169

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19

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

More recent contributions will be weighted more heavily, so if you want to help your favorite candidate in the 538 model donate now, LOL. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's a sneak peak of how we're going to be evaluating fundraising strength in our primary model. Since it's unclear which of these is most predictive, we take an average of 3 different metrics: * % of small donor $ * % of all individual $ * % of all $ including self-funding https://t.co/FNFVAoUZQj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

More seriously, in contrast to earlier research, we do find fundraising has some predictive power in the primaries. About as much as endorsements, probably. This may reflect a change in the landscape. One of the things that's made me a bit more optimistic about Bernie's chances. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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