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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 6, 2020

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Sun Dec 22 04:47:32 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@StuPolitics I'm only 36% joking. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 22, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. I think part of this is because the primary campaign is *really* long. I'm definitely guilty too getting a little pundit-ish early in the cycle for want of data. Right about now (~1 month before Iowa) is when you can start to have more interesting data-driven stuff to say. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's a fun backtest from our primary model run ~90 days before the 2016 Iowa caucus in the midst of Ben Carson's surge. Carson polled *really* well in Iowa, which is why our model would have liked him. Kinda wonder what the world would've looked like if he'd been the GOP nom. https://t.co/lShsZLmHXO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 22, 2019 Hibernated