Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 6, 2020

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Sat Dec 21 23:56:47 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. I think part of this is because the primary campaign is *really* long. I'm definitely guilty too getting a little pundit-ish early in the cycle for want of data. Right about now (~1 month before Iowa) is when you can start to have more interesting data-driven stuff to say. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For sure. And there are also better and worse ways to read the polls, e.g. you do want to pay attention to Iowa. But my real critique is that too often, people try to fill the gap between *what we know from polls* and *reality* with punditry rather than uncertainty/humility. — PolitiTweet.org

We're more in agreement than not. I agree that picking, say, Julian Castro at random would not have been a wise mov… https://t.co/GaxFCer76u

Posted Dec. 21, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@StuPolitics I'm only 36% joking. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 22, 2019 Hibernated