Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 6, 2020

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Sat Dec 21 22:38:35 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@briankoppelman @voxdotcom I mean I think it all gets worse around the holidays when you have a lot more kids/seniors/people-bringing-lots-of-luggage/first-time-travelers. The whole system would be designed differently if that were the norm. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@briankoppelman @voxdotcom Also some degree of chaos is inherent when you're dealing with crowds of people in compact spaces with security concerns. Getting through security and into your seat at, say, a Yankees game can be a fairly chaotic process also. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Well the early polling leader wins ~50% of the time, whereas if you just pick a candidate at random, you'll be right 10% of the time (assuming an average of ~10 candidates per race). So that's actually a pretty big improvement! You'll be wrong only half the time instead of 90%! — PolitiTweet.org

This is the loneliest cause in politics. Early handicapping is almost always wrong or off-base. (Obama 2008, McCain… https://t.co/q2LNML8s9K

Posted Dec. 21, 2019 Hibernated