Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 6, 2020

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Tue Dec 17 22:50:55 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So if say Klobuchar has a couple polls where she's at 5% instead of 2%, the model will assume that's mostly noise if there hasn't been a major event recently and will need a few more polls to confirm the trend. But just a poll or 2 or 3 could swing the numbers after a big event. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing to note about our primary averages is that they're programmed to be more aggressive after major events. (Major events: big primary/caucus nights, debates, major candidates dropping out). Outside of that, they'll be more conservative. https://t.co/NRHApT7FSF — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @FiveThirtyEight: What we know about Andrew Yang’s base --> https://t.co/gF6RP8mkvR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2019 Retweet Hibernated