Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 3, 2020

Created

Fri Dec 13 01:15:04 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Generally when there's a landslide (as in the UK tonight) everyone's hot takes are mostly right and when there's a close result everyone's hot takes are mostly wrong. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Higher diffusion tends to predict higher polling volatility. That is to say, when the race is unsettled, you'll typically get bigger and more unpredictable polling swings. So this is somewhat good news for candidates who might not like what the polls say lately. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You probably CAN blame Corbyn AND Brexit AND Labour AND going too far to the left AND [insert hypothesis here], because you need some combination of ALL of those things for them to lose to the Tories by 14 points or whatever it's going to wind up being. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated