Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 3, 2020

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Fri Dec 13 00:04:56 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I call it the "diffusion index" (better name coming later). Here's how it works. Take all candidates' vote shares, square them, sum the squares, then subtract the result from 1. An index of 1 means the race is extremely unsettled whereas 0 means one candidate has 100%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you need a break from UK election politics, here's a cool metric I came up with to measure how settled or unsettled the polls are in the primary. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As you might gather, this year's D race is relatively unsettled, so has high diffusion. Here it stands in comparison to other races at the same point in time (57 days before Iowa). It's most similar to the '08, '12 and '16 GOP races, and the '88 and '04 Democratic ones. https://t.co/50xGdYoZbB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated