Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 3, 2020

Created

Fri Dec 13 00:04:56 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you need a break from UK election politics, here's a cool metric I came up with to measure how settled or unsettled the polls are in the primary. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@yeselson Like, if you're gonna run someone who's pretty far to the left, he/she ought to be charismatic and relatively scandal-free and a good retail campaigner like Bernie and not a mediocre politician with excess baggage and anti-Semitic dalliances like Corbyn. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I call it the "diffusion index" (better name coming later). Here's how it works. Take all candidates' vote shares, square them, sum the squares, then subtract the result from 1. An index of 1 means the race is extremely unsettled whereas 0 means one candidate has 100%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated