Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 3, 2020

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Thu Dec 12 20:54:27 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also there are like 15 typos in that table which is what happens when I'm going on 4 hours of sleep. But we've found it's more robust empirically to use a blend of different metrics rather than to just focus on endorsements, for example. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Note that I've had to guesstimate Bloomberg's $$. The fundraising metric is actually based on a composite of 3 metrics: (a) small donor $, (b) all individual donor $, (c) and all money regardless of source, so Bloomberg will only get so much credit for self-funding. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are about a billion complications, and every election has its host of one-off contingencies. But there is reasonably robust evidence that, over the long run, parties & candidates that are perceived as more "extreme" tend to fare worse electorally, other things held equal. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2019 Hibernated