Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 3, 2020

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Wed Dec 11 02:31:05 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People love thinkng about the more exotic scenarios but Biden would likely be a quite heavy favorite to win the nomination if he wins Iowa (not at all out of the question) and then still would have some pretty decent chances if he doesn't (depending on a lot of things). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 11, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Like at this stage, there's absolutely zero repetitional risk to saying "Trump's a modest favorite"—you'll seem wise, chastened, prudent—whereas there definitely IS some to saying "Trump's a modest underdog", even though you can build a perfectly reasonable argument either way. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 11, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As a former management consultant myself (!) I wonder if the fuss about who Buttigieg consulted for makes a mid-level management consulting job seem much more impactful than it actually is and winds up bolstering his perceived credentials. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 11, 2019 Hibernated