Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 3, 2020

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Tue Dec 10 21:56:37 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKarol @SteveKornacki @SeanTrende Meanwhile, Buttigieg himself isn't quite putting the issue front and center, especially now that he's going for a older, more moderate slice of the electorate. And the media, sensing all this, doesn't talk about much it at all, though there's a lot of subtext one can detect. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKarol @SteveKornacki @SeanTrende I think it's a weird confluence of factors. Some people, including some LGBTQ & allies, might not want to get into the electability discussion. But also for his critics on the left, Buttigieg's sexual orientation intersects in a complicated way with claims that he's privileged. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I spend a lot of time every cycle on constructing empirically and theoretically sound fat-tailed probability distributions in our models, even though I doubt anyone will really give us credit if we correctly distinguish a 2% chance from an 0.2% chance and the 2% chance hits. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 10, 2019 Hibernated