Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 3, 2020

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Tue Dec 10 20:48:58 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Buttigieg declined a fair bit in this poll, so it seems likely that Warren got some of the recent Warren -> Buttigieg converts back. But the ones she *didn't* get back might be harder to reacquire later on. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We're getting into small-ish sample sizes here, but Buttigieg voters went from primarily having Warren as their 2nd choice in the November Quinnipiac poll (left) to being more inclined toward Biden & other moderates now. https://t.co/wAyK1eLmPh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Clearly Bernie (or anybody) would be very formidable if he won the first 3, but I don't think that's exactly right re: bounces, because bounces recalibrate relative to revised expectations pretty quickly. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 10, 2019 Hibernated