Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked May 3, 2020

Created

Sun Dec 08 20:07:59 +0000 2019

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbview @jonmladd @mattyglesias FWIW, I've done a decent bit of work on this lately, and fundraising does have a bit of predictive power in forecasting movement in national polls. Not as much as endorsements but some. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 8, 2019 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias I mostly agree with the broader point. But I think people are looking at the fundraising numbers the wrong way. The story they tell is really one of divided support. Buttigieg has raised only 15% of the total individual contributions this cycle. And Bernie (the leader) only 18%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 8, 2019 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbview @jonmladd @mattyglesias Total $ in individual contributions seems to be the best metric. There doesn't appear to be anything particularly special about either small donors or big donors in predicting poll movement. Our data isn't great on self-raised $ but it doesn't *appear* to have the same impact. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 8, 2019 Hibernated