Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 30, 2020

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Mon Dec 02 20:39:43 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

538 national polling average for Monday, Dec. 2, 2019: Biden—26.1 Sanders—16.4 Warren—15.6 Buttigieg—10.0 Bloomberg—3.8 Harris—3.8 Yang—3.2 Klobuchar—2.2 Booker—1.6 Steyer—1.4 Gabbard—1.4 Castro—1.1 Patrick—0.6 Bennet—0.5 Delaney—0.4 Williamson—0.4 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 2, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Basically, on the spectrum of a) 2nd choices are distributed completely at random to b) 2nd choices are strictly determined by ideological & other 'lanes' a) is closer to the truth than b). But if you'll permit some complexity, it's more like a 70/30 or 60/40 mix of a) to b). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 2, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Change from 3 weeks ago (Nov. 11): Candidate—Then—Now-Change Biden—27.0—26.1—🔻0.9 Sanders—16.2—16.4—🔼0.2 Warren—20.4—15.6—🔻4.8 Buttigieg—7.6—10.0—🔼2.4 Bloomberg—2.7—3.8—🔼1.1 Harris—4.4—3.8—🔻0.6 Yang—2.3—3.2—🔼0.9 Klobuchar—2.0—2.2—🔼0.2 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 2, 2019 Hibernated