Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 26, 2020

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Tue Nov 26 22:09:43 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MattGrossmann @mattyglesias Yeah, Bernie *has* been spending some ad $ in early states and the timing's worked out well. We're at a point in the campaign where even an extra 1-2 points in polls (ads probably not worth *more* than that) can move you up a position in IA/NH, which helps with perception, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It does appear that most of Warren's erosion on this question is from moderates. https://t.co/yncKPdgv05 — PolitiTweet.org

% saying Warren has "best policy ideas" Among moderates: Oct 13: 35 Oct 21: 28 Nov 25: 13 Among Independents:… https://t.co/Pm9ZvBbfw4

Posted Nov. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The following four states have never had a major candidate run for president in the primary era (1972-2020). (The other 46 states + DC have had one or more): Mississippi, North Dakota, Oregon, Wyoming. No Oregon is a bit surprising. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 26, 2019 Hibernated