Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 24, 2020

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Tue Nov 26 02:13:33 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden has really avoided the scenarios that would be *most* threatening to him. 1. Neither Harris, Booker or anyone else has gained much traction among black voters. 2. The rising candidate in the moderate "lane" (Pete) doesn't have a lot of demographic overlap with his voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Something like Buttigieg wins Iowa but not by a whole lot, Warren or Sanders win NH but not by a whole lot, Biden finishes a "respectable" 2nd or 3rd in both states; I'd happily take that if I were Biden and move on to NV/SC/Super Tuesday. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

3. If the establishment is lukewarm on Biden, it certainly hasn't lined up behind anyone else. 4. The progressive vote is still split between Sanders and Warren. None of this puts Biden in a *great* position, but it's not a bad one either. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 26, 2019 Hibernated