Nate Silver @NateSilver538
It's unlikely that the current roughly ~4 way tie in Iowa and New Hampshire holds. Someone will probably break through sooner or later. But if that outcome were to occur—if things unfolded exactly in the messy scenario polls show right now —that would be a pretty good for Biden. — PolitiTweet.org
Matt Viser @mviser
How fluid is the 2020 race? Recent polls show a real possibility that Biden comes in fourth place in both Iowa and… https://t.co/yWdLkfQl2r