Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 24, 2020

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Mon Nov 25 21:05:45 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another way to put it: for a while now, Warren's early-state polling averages have tended to be a bit worse than her national polls. So if she's at 19-ish percent nationally, we might expect a lot of early-state numbers in the mid-high teens. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If these numbers seem a little bearish on Warren, it's because our state poll averages are adjusted for changes in our national polling average. And Warren has fallen a few points nationally, which impacts her numbers in states (e.g. NV/SC) that haven't been polled much lately. — PolitiTweet.org

IA: Buttigieg 21.6 Sanders 18.4 Biden 17.5 Warren 15.9 NH: Biden 20.0 Warren 18.0 Sanders 17.0 Buttigieg 15.0 N… https://t.co/Mm8bymCcuO

Posted Nov. 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Some Super Tuesday states: CA: Biden 23.0, Warren 20.6, Sanders 19.2, Buttigieg 7.6 TX: Biden 25.3, Warren 15.3, Sanders 14.1, Buttigieg 6.1 NC: Biden 33.8, Warren 15.1, Sanders 14.6, Buttigieg 6.0 VA: Biden 30.9, Warren 15.0, Sanders 14.5, Buttigieg 8.3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2019 Hibernated